In the last of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs (13-9) and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-9) at Wrigley Field, Jason Hammel (2-1, 3.55 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (1-2, 4.03 ERA) get the start. The Brewers won the last game 6-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and will air on FSN-WI and WGN.
Hammel has a 1.85 ERA and a 5-0 record in his career against the Brewers, and is up against a struggling Milwaukee offense that's hitting just .225 on the year. Anthony Rizzo (.324, 17 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Cubs, Nelson is 0-2 with a 5.02 ERA, 10 strikeouts and four walks. Jean Segura (.298, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 10 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 4 for 5 yesterday with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
Chicago is a -154 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Cubs are 7-5 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +427. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 25 steals. Chicago's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Cubs have a team ERA of 3.53, one of the lowest in their league. The Cubs don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Wrigley Field, ranking second in the NL with only 7.7 hits allowed per home game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 9.0 strikeouts per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .214 when playing as the underdog (3-11) and an overall money line of -1,392. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-6 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 4.0 runs per game, above their 3.1 season average.
This game will feature Nelson (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have an 11-6 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Hammel. They sport a 5-14 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The Cubs hold a 10-6 record against the NL Central Division this season, while the Brewers have a 6-15 record against the division.
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 5-4, while Milwaukee is 3-6.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 2-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-14. The Cubs have a 3-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 16 this season. Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 18.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.39 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.62.
Ranking 29th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.623). Chicago ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .704.
The Brewers are 4-14 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 6-6 when they allow at least one homer.