Mike Pelfrey (2-0, 2.25 ERA) starts for the Minnesota Twins (12-12) as they square off against John Danks (1-2, 5.64 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (8-13) in the last of a four-game series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 5-3 and Minnesota can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on CSN-CHI and FSN-N.
Pelfrey is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, and 20 strikeouts against the White Sox. Trevor Plouffe (.259, 10 Rs, 4 HRs, 10 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. When pitching against the Twins, Danks is 7-13 with a 5.59 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts. Avisail Garcia (.320, 11 Rs, 1 HR, 5 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Minnesota is a -124 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Twins have had a solid season in terms of their overall money line (+272), they've done poorly as a favorite with a record of 1-2. Within its division, Minnesota has a 1-2 record as favorite and a 10-11 record SU. The Twins are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.2 per game. Minnesota's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.3. The Twins are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -592 and a disappointing record of 4-9 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 4-8 record against teams in their division, and a 4-6 record SU. Chicago is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.3 per game, ranking third in the AL. When it comes to issuing walks, the White Sox have the third-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Twins lead the season series, 4-2. The Twins have a 6-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Danks takes the mound. Pelfrey (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 6-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Under
The Twins are 10-11 against their divisional rivals, while the White Sox are 8-12 against their division.
The Twins are 2-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 0-1 in such matchups.
The White Sox are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Twins have a record of 2-0 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 1-12. The Twins have a 2-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 12 this season. Minnesota ranks near the bottom at 24th with 14.
Ranking 11th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.05 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.22.
Minnesota and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Minnesota sits at 24th with an OPS of .653 and Chicago ranks 26th with an OPS of .637.
When the White Sox allow at least one home run, they are 3-10. When the Twins allow one or more homers, they have a 5-10 record.