Jarred Cosart (1-1, 2.49 ERA) and Severino Gonzalez (0-1, 23.62 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (12-12) and the Philadelphia Phillies (8-17) at Marlins Park. The Phillies lost the last game 7-0, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and FSN-FL.
Cosart pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking three in a 3-1 defeat to the Mets. Dee Gordon (.440, 15 Rs, 11 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 3 with three runs and two stolen bases. Gonzalez went 2.2 innings, surrendering seven runs and walking two in an 11-5 defeat to the Cardinals in his last outing. Freddy Galvis (.341, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Miami is a -173 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of -227 and a record as the favorite of 7-7. Within its division, Miami has a 6-5 record as favorite and a 10-10 record SU. The Marlins have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in offense with 4.4 runs per game. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.8 per game. Miami's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.5 runs per game, well under their season average of 3.9. The Marlins are the top team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.5 hits per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -652 and a disappointing record of 7-14 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 3-7 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 6.7 per game, ranking second in the NL. The Phillies average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.2 against division foes.
The Marlins lead the season series, 4-1. The Marlins have an 8-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gonzalez takes the mound. Cosart (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 6-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Under
The Phillies are struggling at 6-12 in their division, while the Marlins sit at 11-10.
While the Marlins have never recorded more than a single error in a game this season, the Phillies just recorded their eighth instance of two or more errors following their latest outing.
When the Marlins play into extra innings, they have a 1-0 record. The Phillies are 1-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
With records of 1-5 and 3-15 respectively, the Marlins and the Phillies both perform poorly when they are outhit by their opponent.
Tied at 25th for total home runs, Miami and Philadelphia have each hit 14 homers this season.
Ranking 15th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.21 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.00.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.599). Miami ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .717.
The Phillies are 5-10 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 7-7 when they allow at least one homer.