Roberto Hernandez (1-2, 3.80 ERA) and J.A. Happ (2-1, 2.30 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Houston Astros (17-7) and the Seattle Mariners (10-14) at Minute Maid Park. The Astros won the last game 11-4, continuing a nine-game winning streak. Houston can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on ROOT-NW and ROOT-SW.
Hernandez is 2-5 with a 3.47 ERA in his appearances against the Mariners, and goes up against a below-average Seattle offense which is batting just .235 this season. Jake Marisnick (.391, 13 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs, 9 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. When pitching against the Astros, Happ is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and 22 strikeouts. Nelson Cruz (.347, 17 Rs, 13 HRs, 25 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Mariners, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
Seattle is a slim -113 favorite over Houston. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Astros have recorded an overall money line of +1,133 and have shown high-level performance as an underdog this season with a record of 12-4. Houston has gone 9-1 in its last 10 as underdog. The Astros have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.7 runs per game. The Astros lead the MLB in home runs with 37. Houston leads the MLB in steals, swiping 31 bases. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Astros, who have a team ERA of only 3.04. The Astros are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.05 so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Seattle has a 8-10 record and an overall money line of -634. They are 7-7 as the favorite against fellow AL West members, and 9-8 SU. The Mariners allow 4.3 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.1 runs per game during that span. The Mariners have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.1 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Astros have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Astros have a great 4-1 record at home (7-2 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Happ takes the mound. Hernandez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 7-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
The Astros sit at 13-5 against division rivals, while the Mariners have an even 9-9 record against their foes.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 5-1, while Houston is 8-3.
The Astros are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Mariners have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
The Astros are coming into the game with nine consecutive wins, while the Mariners currently have a losing streak of three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 5-3. The Astros have an 11-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 86 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fourth with 118.
Ranking 22nd, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 61 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at second with 90.
When the Astros hit at least one home run, they are 13-5. When the Mariners hit at least one homer, they have a 9-8 record.