Dillon Gee (0-1, 4.26 ERA) and the New York Mets (16-9) meet Doug Fister (1-1, 3.28 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (11-14) in the last of a four-game division series at Citi Field. The Nationals won the last game 1-0 and Washington leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and will air on MASN and SNY.
Gee has a 3.69 ERA and an 8-4 record in his career against the Nationals, and is up against a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's hitting just .236 on the year. Juan Lagares (.313, 13 Rs, 11 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Fister is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA. He meets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .239. Danny Espinosa (.273, 10 Rs, 2 HRs, 5 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a slight -101 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Mets are 5-7 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +887. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (2-5). The Mets have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As for the pitching staff, the Mets are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.11.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Nationals come into this game with a win percentage of .444 when playing as the favorite (8-10) and an overall money line of -751. They have played poorly when rated as favorite as of late. They managed a 2-5 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 3-7. Washington's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.8 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.6.
The Mets will take on a right-hander (Fister) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (13-7), especially at home where they have a 10-1 record. The right-handed Gee will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 7-12 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets sit at 15-7 against their divisional rivals, while the Nationals are 9-10.
Washington earned its first shutout of the season in its last game. New York has been shut out one time this season.
The Nationals are 2-1 when they go into extra innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Nationals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 7-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Nationals are 8-1. The Mets have a 9-1 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Washington both rank in the top half of the league in runs. New York sits at 14th with 101 runs this season and Washington ranks 12th with 104.
Ranking 12th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 77 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 79.
The Mets are 9-3 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Nationals are 8-6 when they hit at least one homer.