Wei-Yin Chen (0-1, 2.78 ERA) starts for the Baltimore Orioles (11-11) as they square off against Nathan Karns (1-1, 4.76 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (13-11) in the last of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Orioles won the last game 4-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on SunSports and MASN2.
Chen is 3-4 with a 3.42 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, and goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .230 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.362, 11 Rs, 3 HRs, 9 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Karns is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He is up against a good Baltimore offense that's batting .277. Tim Beckham (.259, 9 Rs, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -116 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of -91 and a record as the favorite of 7-5. Within its division, Baltimore has a 6-5 record as favorite and a 9-11 record SU. The Orioles are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.5 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 8-6 record and an overall money line of +374. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 6-5 record against AL East opponents, and an 11-9 record SU. Tampa Bay is excellent at drawing walks with 3.5 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Rays allow 3.7 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.3 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.11 for the season. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Orioles lead the season series, 3-2. The Orioles have an 8-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Karns takes the mound. Chen (LHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 3-3 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles hold a 10-11 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 11-10.
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 4-4, while Baltimore is 3-4.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Rays have a 0-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-7. The Rays have a 1-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 15th in home runs, Tampa Bay has hit 19 this season. Baltimore ranks sixth with 30 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.83 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at second with 9.43.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.674). Baltimore ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .799.
The Rays are 5-7 when they allow at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 6-7 record.