In the first of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (12-14) and the Miami Marlins (12-14) at Nationals Park, Jordan Zimmermann (2-2, 4.88 ERA) and David Phelps (1-0, 3.38 ERA) take the mound. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 4 and will air on FSN-FL and MASN.
Zimmermann has a 3.34 ERA and a 7-3 record in his career against the Marlins, and is up against a strong Miami offense that's hitting .271 on the year. Bryce Harper (.261, 18 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. The Marlins were unsuccessful to the Mets 4-3 the last time Phelps pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out four. Dee Gordon (.440, 15 Rs, 11 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Marlins, going 3 for 3 yesterday with three runs and two stolen bases.
Washington, a -162 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Nationals are 9-10 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -651. They have an SU record of 9-10 against teams in their division and an 8-9 record when they were the favorite in those games.
Switching gears, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .444 when playing as the underdog (4-5) and an overall money line of -127. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 9-1 SU and have an unblemished 4-0 record when they were an underdog to win. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. The Marlins are one of the top NL pitching staffs on the road, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of three runs allowed per away game. They also allow just 7.4 hits per game, good for tops in the NL.
The previous three games have all gone Miami's way. This game will feature Phelps (RHP) on the mound against the Nationals, who have a 7-12 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Zimmermann will take the mound against the Marlins, who have an 8-11 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
The Nationals and the Marlins both hold an even record against their divisional opponents. The Nationals are 10-10 and the Marlins are 11-11.
For the first time this season, the Marlins registered at least two errors.
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Nationals are 2-1 in such matchups.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 1-6 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 11-5. The Nationals have a 9-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Washington and Miami both rank in the top half of the league in runs. Washington sits at 13th with 105 runs this season and Miami ranks 11th with 110.
Ranking 19th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 67 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 85.
When the Nationals hit at least one home run, they are 8-6. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 5-5 record.