In the first of a three-game series between the Houston Astros (18-7) and the Texas Rangers (18-7) at Minute Maid Park, Dallas Keuchel (3-0, 0.73 ERA) and Ross Detwiler (0-3, 8.66 ERA) get the start. The Astros enter this series looking to continue a 10-game winning streak. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 4 and will air on FSN-SW and ROOT-SW.
Keuchel has a 3.95 ERA and a 2-3 record in his career against the Rangers, and faces a struggling Texas offense that's hitting just .216 on the year. Jake Marisnick (.382, 13 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Astros, Detwiler is 1-0 with a 2.87 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and five strikeouts. Prince Fielder (.358, 10 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Rangers, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Houston is a -175 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Astros have a winning record of 5-3 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,344. During their last 10 games, they have managed perfect records both as the favorite (1-0) and SU. Houston has averaged 7.6 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 5.0. The Astros come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Astros rank third in the majors in extra base hits with 88. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 31 steals. Houston's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the AL. The Astros have a team ERA of 3.08, one of the lowest in their league. The Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.06.
Across the field, the Rangers have a subpar record of 7-13 when they are the underdog and are -493 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 7-14 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 6-12 record.
The Astros are 2-1 against the Rangers this season. This game will feature Detwiler (LHP) on the mound against the Astros, who have a 5-1 home and 8-2 overall record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Rangers will be the left-hander Keuchel. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 3-7 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
The Astros sit at 14-5 against the division, while the Rangers are struggling at 7-15.
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 9-3, while Texas is 4-11.
The Astros are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Rangers have a record of 6-5 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Rangers are 3-12. The Astros have a 4-3 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to home runs with 40 this season. Texas ranks near the bottom at 22nd with 17.
Ranking 15th, Texas is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.48 per game. Houston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.54.
Ranking 25th, Texas is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.637). Houston ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .770.
When the Rangers allow at least one home run, they are 3-12. When the Astros allow one or more homers, they have a 5-5 record.