Madison Bumgarner (2-1, 3.73 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (12-13) meet Tyson Ross (1-2, 4.55 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (14-12) in the first of a three-game division series at AT&T Park. The game starts at 10:15 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 4 and will air on FSN-SD and CSN-BAY.
Bumgarner is 6-5 with a 3.80 ERA against the Padres in his career, and faces a solid San Diego offense that's hitting .261 on the year. Brandon Crawford (.244, 11 Rs, 5 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two RBIs. In his career against the Giants, Ross is 3-2 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and 41 strikeouts. Justin Upton (.301, 19 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Padres, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
San Francisco, a -165 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is six runs. The Giants perform poorly as a favorite with a 4-7 record and have an overall money line of -256. They have disappointing records of 2-7 as the favorite and 9-13 SU within their division.
Across the field, the Padres have a record of 5-7 when they are the underdog and are zero overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-4 record and 3-7 SU. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging five runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Padres, who average 9.1 hits per game. San Diego's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.5.
The Padres are 3-1 against the Giants this season. The Giants will take on a right-hander (Ross) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (5-11), especially at home where they have a 2-5 record. The left-handed Bumgarner will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 5-2 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
The Giants are 9-13 against their divisional rivals, while the Padres are 12-8 against their division.
San Francisco has won 20% (1-4) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Diego has won 54% (7-6) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Padres have an 8-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 1-10. The Giants have a 3-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 18 this season. San Diego ranks ninth with 26 home runs.
Ranking seventh, San Francisco is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.63 per game. San Diego ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.12.
Ranking 18th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.689). San Diego ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .727.
When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 9-10. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 5-8 record.