Kyle Lohse (1-4, 7.28 ERA) and Clayton Kershaw (1-2, 3.73 ERA) take the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (7-18) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (16-8) at Miller Park. Action begins at 7:20 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 4 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and FSN-WI.
Lohse is 2-4 with a 4.35 ERA in his appearances against the Dodgers, and goes up against a quality Los Angeles offense which is batting .263 this season. Adam Lind (.318, 9 Rs, 4 HRs, 13 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Kershaw is 5-4 with a 3.05 ERA when pitching against the Brewers. He takes on a below-average Milwaukee offense which is hitting just .227 this season. Andre Ethier (.321, 12 Rs, 4 HRs, 9 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles takes on Milwaukee as a -168 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,095 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 5-11. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.9.
Over in the other dugout, Los Angeles is coming in with an overall money line of +398 and an impressive record of 14-7 as the favorite. Offensively, they average 5.0 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Dodgers have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 95 extra base hits. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.7 per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.24 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.13 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.2 strikeouts per game.
Lohse (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 3-5 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn't as positive at 14-6.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Dodgers won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 1-3. The Dodgers are 3-4 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 5-4, while Milwaukee is 3-6.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 4-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 2-14. The Dodgers have a 1-5 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 17 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with 38.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.46 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.91.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Los Angeles has an OPS of .820 this season. Milwaukee ranks 28th with an OPS of .629.
When the Dodgers allow at least one home run, they are 9-5. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 4-14 record.