Jake Odorizzi (2-2, 2.41 ERA) takes the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays (13-12) as they square off against Clay Buchholz (1-3, 5.76 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (12-13) in the first of a three-game series at Fenway Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 4 and can be seen on SunSports and NESN.
Buchholz is 8-6 with a 2.40 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, and goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .230 this season. Hanley Ramirez (.283, 17 Rs, 10 HRs, 22 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Against the Red Sox, Odorizzi is 1-2 with a 3.69 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts. Kevin Kiermaier (.296, 12 Rs, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Boston is a -138 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -231 and a record as the favorite of 8-8. Boston has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 5-6 and 8-10 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Red Sox have seen a decline in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 4.4 runs per game. They average 4.9 runs per game on the season. Boston leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 4.0 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Red Sox, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.3.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 8-7 record and an overall money line of +150. They are 6-6 as the underdog against AL East opponents, and 11-11 SU. Offensively, the Rays have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 3.3 in those contests. Tampa Bay is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Rays allow 3.8 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.5 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.12 for the season.
The Rays lead the season series, 2-1. The Red Sox have a 10-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Odorizzi takes the mound. Buchholz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 10-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
This season, the Rays hold an even 11-11 record against AL East teams. The Red Sox sit at 8-11 against these opponents.
The Red Sox and the Rays are both 1-1 in games that go into extra innings.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 4-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 10-1. The Red Sox have an 11-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 91 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 122.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 102 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 85.
The Red Sox are 8-10 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rays are 7-7 when they hit at least one homer.