In the first of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (12-13) and the Cincinnati Reds (12-13) at PNC Park, Jeff Locke (2-1, 4.76 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (0-1, 5.40 ERA) get the ball. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and will air on FSN-OH and ROOT-PIT.
Locke is 2-1 with a 2.75 ERA against the Reds in his career, and is up against a struggling Cincinnati offense that's hitting just .226 on the year. Starling Marte (.258, 13 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs, 4 SBs) played well again Sunday, going 2 for 6 with one stolen base. The Reds were unsuccessful the last time Lorenzen pitched. He went, going 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out five and walking one in an 8-3 loss to the Brewers. Joey Votto (.323, 15 Rs, 7 HRs, 17 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 Sunday.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against teams in the NL Central, the Pirates have an SU record of 8-11. Pittsburgh's pitchers struggle within their division. The Pirates have given up an average of 3.6 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 3.1.
Against divisional opponents, the Reds are 10-11 SU. The Reds are known for their power, smashing 34 home runs. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 29 stolen bases. Switching gears to Cincinnati's pitching staff, they allow just 7.7 hits per game, good for second in the NL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The previous three games have all gone Cincinnati's way. The Pirates will take on a right-hander (Lorenzen) in this game and have a 12-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN
The Pirates are 8-11 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 10-11 against their division.
The Reds are 1-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-4 in such matchups.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Pirates have a 4-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 7-4. The Pirates have a 9-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 93 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 100.
Ranking 27th, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 51 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 12th with 81.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 8-6, well-matched with the Reds who are 10-7 when hitting one or more homers.