Marco Estrada (1-0, 0.84 ERA) and Michael Pineda (3-0, 3.73 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (13-14) and the New York Yankees (16-10) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 3-1 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and can be seen on YES and RSN.
Estrada pitched 3.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out three and walking two in an 11-8 win over the Red Sox. Josh Donaldson (.314, 22 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Blue Jays, Pineda is 1-2 with a 3.93 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 33 strikeouts.
New York is a narrow -111 favorite over Toronto. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of -314 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 6-9. Toronto has recorded a disappointing 2-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 32.
In games where it is the favorite, New York has a 7-5 record and an overall money line of +711. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 5-4 record against AL East foes, and an 11-7 record SU. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the AL. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 88 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.7 per game, ranking third in the AL.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 3-1. The Blue Jays have a 9-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Pineda takes the mound. Estrada (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have an 11-6 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays are an even 10-10 against the division, while the Yankees sit at 11-8.
New York has won 50% (6-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 67% (6-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Toronto batters brought in a solid 10 hits last game. New York has a record of 2-4 when their opponents get that many hits or more.
When they are outhit, the Blue Jays are 2-12. The Yankees have a 3-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total home runs this season, Toronto ranks fifth with 32 homers and New York is fourth with 33.
Toronto and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Toronto sits at ninth with 8.46 hits per game and New York ranks sixth with 8.56.
Toronto and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Toronto sits at seventh with an OPS of .754 and New York ranks eighth with an OPS of .738.
The Yankees are 8-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 9-10 when they allow at least one homer.