Mat Latos (0-3, 6.86 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (12-14) are in Washington to go up against Stephen Strasburg (2-2, 4.60 ERA) and the Nationals (13-14) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the second of a three-game series at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 6-4 and Washington leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and will air on FSN-FL and MASN.
Strasburg has a 3.58 ERA and a 9-6 record in his career against the Marlins, and is up against a strong Miami offense that's hitting .270 on the year. Yunel Escobar (.311, 10 Rs, 2 HRs, 7 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 5 for 5 with one run and two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Nationals, Latos is 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Washington offense that's batting just .239. Dee Gordon (.433, 16 Rs, 11 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Washington, a -177 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Nationals are 9-10 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -551. They have a 10-10 record SU and are 8-9 as favorite within their division.
Across the field, the Marlins have a record of 4-5 when they are the underdog and are -298 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the underdog with a perfect 3-0 record and 8-2 SU. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. Miami's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.3 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 3.8. They also average just 7.5 hits allowed per game, best in the NL.
In their previous four games this season, the Marlins have a 3-1 record. The Nationals will take on a right-hander (Latos) in this game and have an 8-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Strasburg. They sport an 8-12 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
The Nationals are 11-10 against their divisional rivals, while the Marlins are 11-12 against their division.
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Nationals are 2-1 in such matchups.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are heading in with a 9-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 1-7. The Nationals have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 28th when it comes to home runs, hitting 15 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 14th with 21.
Ranking 10th, Washington is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 7.96 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at third with 9.04.
Ranking 20th, Washington is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.680). Miami ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .706.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 7-8. When the Nationals allow one or more homers, they have a 3-6 record.