Rick Porcello (2-2, 5.34 ERA) and Drew Smyly (0-0, 3.38 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (12-14) and the Tampa Bay Rays (14-12) at Fenway Park. The Rays won the last game 5-1 and Tampa Bay leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and can be seen on SunSports and NESN.
Porcello is 3-3 with a 3.21 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, and goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .232 this season. Brock Holt (.358, 6 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Red Sox, Smyly is 2-0 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 19 strikeouts. Logan Forsythe (.306, 8 Rs, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Boston is a -130 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -370 and a record as the favorite of 8-9. Boston has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 5-7 and 8-11 as the favorite and SU respectively. Boston leads the whole AL in walks, earning an average of 4.1 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Red Sox, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.2.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 8-7 record and an overall money line of +150. They are 6-6 as the underdog against AL East foes, and 11-11 SU. Offensively, the Rays have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 3.3 in those contests. The Rays allow 3.8 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.5 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.11 for the season.
The Rays lead the season series, 3-1. Porcello (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 10-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are 8-12 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 12-11 against their division.
When the Red Sox and the Rays play into extra innings, both teams have a 1-1 record.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 2-1 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 11-1. The Red Sox have an 11-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 96 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 123.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 103 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top five at fifth with 89.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 8-10. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have an 8-7 record.