Shelby Miller (3-1, 2.17 ERA) and Chad Billingsley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (12-14) and the Philadelphia Phillies (10-17) at Turner Field. The Phillies won the last game 5-2 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SPSO.
Miller is 2-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his appearances against the Phillies, and goes up against a below-average Philadelphia offense which is batting just .228 this season. Against the Braves, Billingsley is 2-3 with a 3.14 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and 53 strikeouts. Freddy Galvis (.349, 9 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Atlanta is a -162 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +111 and a record as the favorite of 3-3. Within its division, Atlanta has a 3-3 record as favorite and an 8-10 record SU. The Braves have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in offense with 4.3 runs per game. Atlanta is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -591 and a disappointing record of 8-15 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 6-11 record against NL East foes, and a 4-6 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 6.9 per game, ranking second in the NL. The Phillies average 4.7 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.2 against division foes.
The Phillies lead the season series, 3-1. The Braves have a 10-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Billingsley takes the mound. Miller (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 7-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Under
The Braves are 8-11 against their divisional rivals, while the Phillies are 8-12 against their division.
The Phillies are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 0-1 in such matchups.
The Phillies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are heading in with a 6-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 9-4. The Phillies have a 7-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 77 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 13th with 109.
Ranking 22nd, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 64 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 86.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 8-7. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 3-7 record.