Zack Greinke (4-0, 1.93 ERA) takes the hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers (16-9) as they square off against Matt Garza (2-3, 4.60 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (8-18) in the second of a four-game series at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and FSN-WI.
Garza pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in an 8-3 win over the Reds. Adam Lind (.326, 10 Rs, 4 HRs, 13 RBIs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run. Greinke is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA against the Brewers in his career. He takes on a below-average Milwaukee offense that's batting just .227. Andre Ethier (.317, 13 Rs, 4 HRs, 9 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Los Angeles takes on Milwaukee as a -154 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,095 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 5-11. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.9.
In the other locker room, Los Angeles is coming in with an overall money line of +498 and an impressive record of 15-7 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.8 runs per game, which is good for second in the NL. The Dodgers are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.8 hits per game. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.7 per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.05 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.12 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.4 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Brewers have a bad 3-9 record at home (7-14 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 3-5 record on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. Their overall record against righties isn't as positive at 15-6.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Dodgers lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 2-3. The Dodgers are 3-5 in close games this season.
The Dodgers are 2-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Brewers are 0-1 in such matchups.
The Dodgers are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 1-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 5-2. The Dodgers have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 86 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 118.
Ranking 29th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 49 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fourth with 93.
The Brewers are 7-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Dodgers are 14-6 when they hit at least one homer.