Garrett Richards (2-1, 3.00 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (11-15) meet James Paxton (0-2, 5.74 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (11-15) in the second of a three-game division series at Angel Stadium. The Mariners won the last game 3-2 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 10:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 5 and will air on ROOT-NW and FSN-W.
Richards is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA against the Mariners in his career, and is up against a struggling Seattle offense that's hitting just .234 on the year. Mike Trout (.315, 22 Rs, 6 HRs, 15 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the Angels, Paxton is 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Los Angeles offense that's batting just .225. Nelson Cruz (.340, 18 Rs, 14 HRs, 26 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Los Angeles is a -137 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Angels have a 7-8 record and overall money line at -496. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (3-1). Within their division, Los Angeles's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 4.3 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.8. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, the Los Angeles pitching staff and defense has been very good, only giving up 4.0 runs per game.
On the other side, the Mariners have a subpar record of 2-4 when they are the underdog and are -855 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 9-10 SU and 2-2 as the underdog. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Seattle batters, who rank fifth in the AL with 7.2 strikeouts per game.
This game will feature Paxton (LHP) on the mound against the Angels, who have a 4-2 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander Richards. They sport a 7-11 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAA, O/U - Over
The Mariners are an even 10-10 against the division, while the Angels sit at 11-9.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 6-2, while Los Angeles is 6-6.
The Angels are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mariners have a 4-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Angels are 2-11. The Mariners have a 5-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 22 this season. Seattle ranks in the top five at third with 34.
Los Angeles and Seattle both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 14th with 7.36 hits per game and Seattle ranks 12th with 8.00.
Ranking 29th, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.632). Seattle ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .693.
The Mariners are 4-11 when they allow at least one home run. The Angels perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 5-14 record.