In the second of a two-game series between the New York Mets (17-10) and the Baltimore Orioles (17-10) at Citi Field, Jacob deGrom (2-3, 3.34 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (2-1, 1.59 ERA) take the mound. The Mets won the last game 3-2 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and will air on MASN, SNY and ESPN.
In his last start, deGrom pitched 5.1 innings, allowing three runs (two unearned), striking out four and walking two in an 8-2 loss to the Nationals. Lucas Duda (.302, 15 Rs, 2 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Mets, Jimenez is 2-3 with a 3.40 ERA. He meets a struggling New York offense that's batting just .236. Adam Jones (.396, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 21 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York, a -124 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Mets have a winning record of 11-2 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +685. They have a 1-2 record SU against the American League. New York has averaged 2.8 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 3.9. The Mets typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.5 walks per home game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Mets, who allow an NL-low 2.7 runs per home game. The Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 1.11 WHIP.
Across the field, the Orioles have a subpar record of 4-6 when they are the underdog, but are +121 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. They also allow just 7.3 hits per game, good for third in the AL.
So far this season, the Mets are 1-0 against the Orioles. This game will feature Jimenez (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 13-8 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed deGrom will take the mound against the Orioles, who have a 10-9 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Mets are 6-4. The Orioles are 3-4 in close games this season.
The Orioles are 1-0 when they go into extra innings.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Mets have a 3-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 11-3. The Mets have a 9-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 104 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 122.
Ranking 24th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 62 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 80.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 9-3. When the Orioles hit at least one homer, they have an 11-8 record.