Mike Foltynewicz (1-0, 3.60 ERA) and Jerome Williams (2-1, 4.08 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (13-14) and the Philadelphia Phillies (10-18) at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 9-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SPSO.
Foltynewicz pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking three in a 4-3 win over the Reds. Kelly Johnson (.266, 11 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. Against the Braves, Williams is 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and 25 strikeouts.
Atlanta is a -124 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have an overall money line of -36 and a record as the favorite of 3-4. Atlanta has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 3-4 and 8-11 as the favorite and SU respectively. Atlanta is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.6.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -454 and a disappointing record of 9-15 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 7-11 record against teams in their division, and a 4-6 record SU. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 6.8 per game, ranking second in the NL. The Phillies average 4.6 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.1 against division foes.
The Phillies lead the season series, 3-2. The Braves have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Williams takes the mound. Foltynewicz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 7-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Under
The Phillies currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 8-13, and the Braves have a 9-11 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Philadelphia is 8-9, while Atlanta is 6-11.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Phillies have a 1-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 3-16. The Braves have a 2-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 14 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 12th with 23.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.52 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.12.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.602). Atlanta ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .713.
The Phillies are 5-11 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 3-9 when they allow at least one homer.