Lance Lynn (1-2, 3.07 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (20-6) go up against Jon Lester (1-2, 4.71 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (13-12) in the third of a four-game division series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 7-4, extending an eight-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and will air on CSN-CHI and FSN-MW.
Lynn is 6-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.10 WHIP against the Cubs in his career. Matt Holliday (.345, 14 Rs, 1 HR, 14 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5. In his career against the Cardinals, Lester is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA. He meets a solid St. Louis offense that's batting .273. Anthony Rizzo (.333, 21 Rs, 4 HRs, 12 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Cubs, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
St. Louis is a -119 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with a 17-4 record and have an overall money line of +1,278. They are 8-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Cardinals have one of the most prolific home offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Cardinals rank third in the NL in hits at home with 9.2 per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals lead the NL in ERA with a 2.44 team average.
Moving on to the away team, the Cubs come into this game with a win percentage of .545 when playing as the underdog (6-5) and an overall money line of -90. Against divisional rivals, they are 10-9 SU and 4-4 as the underdog. Chicago is the top road hitting team in the NL with an average of 9.5 hits per contest. The Cubs have racked up 28 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The Cardinals are 3-1 against the Cubs this season. The right-handed Lynn will take the mound against the Cubs, who have an 11-9 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals sit at 15-4 against their divisional rivals, while the Cubs are 10-9.
When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 4-0 record. The Cardinals are 4-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have an 8-0 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 3-9. The Cardinals have a 4-1 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, St. Louis has hit 18 this season. Chicago ranks 19th with 20 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Chicago is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.63 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at second with 9.32.
Ranking 11th, Chicago is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.715). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .742.
The Cubs are 6-9 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 8-3 when they allow at least one homer.