Nathan Eovaldi (2-0, 3.81 ERA) and Chris Tillman (2-3, 6.23 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the New York Yankees (17-11) and the Baltimore Orioles (12-13) at Yankee Stadium. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 7 and can be seen on MASN and YES.
Eovaldi pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking one in a 4-2 win over the Red Sox. Brett Gardner (.309, 18 Rs, 2 HRs, 13 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Against the Yankees, Tillman is 5-5 with a 4.96 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and 56 strikeouts. Jimmy Paredes (.333, 12 Rs, 3 HRs, 11 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
New York is a -123 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +711 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-5. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 6-4 and 12-8 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 93. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Yankees are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.8 walks per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank second in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.9.
In the other locker room, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+21), Baltimore has an unimpressive 4-7 record when playing as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 5-5 record SU.
The Orioles lead the season series, 2-1. The Yankees have a great 12-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Tillman takes the mound. Eovaldi (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 10-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Orioles are an even 11-11 against the division, while the Yankees sit at 12-9.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-7. The Yankees have a 3-9 record when opponents outhit them.
Baltimore ranks in the top 10 of the league at seventh when it comes to home runs, hitting 32 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 34.
Ranking seventh, New York is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.44 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.21.
Ranking ninth, New York is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.734). Baltimore ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .772.
The Orioles are 7-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 9-7 when they allow at least one homer.