Mike Fiers (1-3, 4.74 ERA) and Scott Baker (0-1, 5.73 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (9-19) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (17-10) at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 6-3 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 7 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and MLB Network.
Fiers is 3-0 with a 1.08 ERA in his appearances against the Dodgers, but goes up against a quality Los Angeles offense which is batting .259 this season. Adam Lind (.323, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Baker is 4-4 with a 4.82 ERA against the Brewers in his career. He is up against a below-average Milwaukee offense that's batting just .223. Adrian Gonzalez (.376, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 22 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Dodgers, going 3 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a narrow -113 favorite over Milwaukee. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,025 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 6-12. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 4.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.3 runs per game.
Over in the other dugout, Los Angeles is coming in with an overall money line of +418 and an impressive record of 16-8 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record, and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.8 runs per game, which is tops in the NL. The Dodgers have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 105 extra base hits. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.8 per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.02 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.12 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers lead the season series, 2-1. The Brewers have a bad 3-10 record at home (7-15 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Baker takes the mound. Fiers (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 16-7 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 6-4, while Milwaukee is 3-7.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Brewers need to step it up. The Dodgers have a record of 10-5 when opponents get seven hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 1-6. The Brewers have a 3-15 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles tops the league in home runs with 44 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 22nd with 20.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.33 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.69.
Los Angeles tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .812 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 28th with an OPS of .630.
The Dodgers are 9-7 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Brewers are 6-15 when they allow at least one homer.