Jose Quintana (1-2, 5.28 ERA) and the Chicago White Sox (10-14) go up against Kyle Lobstein (2-2, 3.91 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (17-11) in the last of a three-game division series at U.S. Cellular Field. The White Sox won the last game 7-6 and Chicago leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 7 and will air on FSN-DET and WGN.
Quintana is 4-2 with a 4.37 ERA against the Tigers in his career, and is up against a solid Detroit offense that's hitting .277 on the year. Jose Abreu (.277, 12 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs. In his pitching opportunities against the White Sox, Lobstein is 0-1 with a 2.57 ERA, five strikeouts and one walk. Rajai Davis (.293, 14 Rs, 1 HR, 6 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Chicago is a slight -115 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the White Sox have a 5-4 record and overall money line at -592. They have done well as the favorite in games (3-3), but performed poorly SU (4-6) against their division opponents.
Switching gears, the Tigers come into this game with a win percentage of .556 when playing as the underdog (5-4) and an overall money line of +575. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Tigers have performed much better than normal against teams from the AL Central. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 4.4 season average. Detroit is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.3 hits per contest. The Tigers have racked up 25 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Switching gears to Detroit's pitching staff, they allow just 2.5 walks per game, good for third in the AL.
In their previous five games this season, the White Sox have a 3-2 record. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the left-hander Quintana. They sport a 5-3 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Under
The Tigers sit at 14-7 against their divisional rivals, while the White Sox are 10-13.
Chicago has won 40% (2-3) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Detroit has won 69% (9-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Tigers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the White Sox who are heading in with a 4-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 0-8. The White Sox have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Chicago has hit 14 this season. Detroit ranks 12th with 25 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Detroit ranks in the top five at third with 9.26.
Ranking 26th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.655). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .769.
The Tigers are 5-7 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The White Sox are 5-11 when they allow at least one homer.