This game could be low scoring as Tim Lincecum (2-2, 2.40 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (14-15) go up against Jarred Cosart (1-2, 2.97 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (14-15) in the second of a four-game series at AT&T Park. The Marlins won the last game 7-2 and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 10:15 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 8 and will air on FSN-FL and CSN-BAY.
Lincecum is 2-3 with a 3.83 ERA against the Marlins in his career, and faces a solid Miami offense that's hitting .276 on the year. Brandon Crawford (.253, 13 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Marlins were unsuccessful the last time Cosart pitched. He tossed, going 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 6-2 loss to the Phillies. Dee Gordon (.437, 18 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -131 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Giants have a 6-8 record and overall money line at -76. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (4-1). Don't expect the San Francisco hitters to swing wildly. They average only 7.0 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .417 when playing as the underdog (5-7) and an overall money line of -342.
So far this season, the Marlins are 1-0 against the Giants. This game will feature Cosart (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have an 8-12 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Lincecum will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 9-14 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
San Francisco has won 17% (1-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Miami has won 43% (6-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 2-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 1-7. The Giants have a 3-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, San Francisco ranks 25th with 19 homers and Miami is 28th with 17.
Ranking eighth, San Francisco is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.61 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.07.
Ranking 21st, San Francisco is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.684). Miami ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .715.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 7-9. When the Giants allow one or more homers, they have a 5-9 record.