Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Aaron Harang (3-2, 2.35 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (11-19) go up against Jon Niese (2-2, 2.40 ERA) and the New York Mets (18-11) in the second of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 3-1 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and will air on PIX11 and CSN-PHI.
Harang has a 4.06 ERA and a 6-6 record in his career against the Mets, and faces a struggling New York offense that's hitting just .233 on the year. Freddy Galvis (.351, 10 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 3 with one run and two stolen bases. In his career against the Phillies, Niese is 9-6 with a 2.92 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Philadelphia offense that's batting just .228. Michael Cuddyer (.238, 16 Rs, 3 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Philadelphia, a +112 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Phillies perform poorly as an underdog with a 9-17 record and have an overall money line of -654. They are 3-7 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The Phillies are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.2 per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .867 when playing as the favorite (13-2) and an overall money line of +885. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 4-6. The Mets will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, New York's run production has dropped to 2.7 runs per game, compared to 2.8 for the duration of the season. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the New York batters, who rank third in the NL with 6.9 strikeouts per game. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they have the second-lowest ERA in the NL at 2.90. They have a WHIP of 1.11, second best in the MLB.
In their previous four games this season, the Mets have a 3-1 record. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Harang. Right-handed starters haven't been any trouble for them (15-8), but it's a different story when they play on the road (3-6).
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Under
The Mets hold a 15-9 record against the NL East Division this season, while the Phillies have a 9-14 record against the division.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Mets have a 4-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 3-16. The Mets have a 7-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Philadelphia sits at 29th with 16 home runs this season and New York ranks 25th with 19.
Philadelphia and New York both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 14th with 7.52 hits per game and New York ranks 13th with 7.61.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.613). New York ranks near the bottom at 25th with an OPS of .650.
When the Mets allow at least one home run, they are 9-7. When the Phillies allow one or more homers, they have a 5-12 record.