Joe Kelly (1-1, 5.72 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (13-16) are in Toronto to meet Drew Hutchison (2-0, 7.47 ERA) and the Blue Jays (15-15) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the second of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 7-0 and Toronto leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and will air on NESN and RSN.
Hutchison has a 6.04 ERA and a 2-1 record in his career against the Red Sox, but is up against a struggling Boston offense that's hitting just .234 on the year. Russell Martin (.295, 22 Rs, 7 HRs, 18 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. In his career against the Blue Jays, Kelly is 0-0 with a 5.25 ERA. He gets a solid Toronto offense that's batting .261.
Toronto, a -131 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with an 8-5 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-214). They have SU record of 5-5 and are unbeaten as the favorite (3-0) over their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a dangerous hitting team with 104 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game.
Switching gears, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the underdog (4-4) and an overall money line of -529. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-1 record and 3-7 SU. When it comes to scoring, the Red Sox haven't performed as well against teams from the AL East. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, below their 4.6 runs per game season average. The Red Sox average 3.9 walks per game, making them the most disciplined team in the AL.
The Blue Jays will take on a right-hander (Kelly) in this game and have a 10-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Hutchison. They sport a 10-12 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are struggling at 9-14 in their division, while the Blue Jays sit at 12-11.
Boston has won 42% (5-7) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 67% (6-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with a 7-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Blue Jays have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Blue Jays have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 13-1. The Red Sox have an 11-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 162 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 13th with 128.
Boston tops the league in walks with 115 this season. Toronto ranks in the top half at 11th with 95.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 12-7. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 9-11 record.