Madison Bumgarner (3-1, 3.03 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (15-15) take on David Phelps (1-0, 3.24 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (14-16) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the third of a four-game series at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 6-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 9:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, May. 9 and can be seen on FSN-FL and NBC Bay Area.
Bumgarner is 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, and goes up against a quality Miami offense which is batting .271 this season. Justin Maxwell (.253, 9 Rs, 3 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and two RBIs. Phelps went 6.1 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking three in a 6-4 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Dee Gordon (.437, 18 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -175 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Giants have recorded an overall money line of -214 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 6-9. San Francisco's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.8 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 6-7 record and an overall money line of -214. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 9.3 hits per game. Moving on to Miami's pitching staff and defense, the The Marlins allow just 3.9 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the NL.
The Giants have an 8-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Francisco won its last game in a shutout, its fifth of the season. Miami has been shut out three times this season.
The Marlins are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Giants are 3-1 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Marlins are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Giants have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 13-6. The Giants have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, San Francisco is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 96 this season. Miami ranks in the top half at 13th with 128.
Ranking 22nd, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 77 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 14th with 92.
The Giants are 9-7 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 6-7 when they hit at least one homer.