In the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (16-15) and the Boston Red Sox (16-15) at the Rogers Centre, R.A. Dickey (1-3, 4.38 ERA) and Clay Buchholz (1-4, 6.03 ERA) take the mound. The Blue Jays won the last game 7-1 and Toronto leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and will air on NESN, RSN and MLB Network.
Dickey is 6-4 with a 4.13 ERA against the Red Sox in his career, and faces a struggling Boston offense that's hitting just .234 on the year. Josh Donaldson (.320, 25 Rs, 7 HRs, 20 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Blue Jays, Buchholz is 11-9 with a 3.38 ERA. He gets a solid Toronto offense that's batting .261. Mookie Betts (.242, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 18 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -127 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 9-5 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-114). They are 6-4 SU and perfect as the favorite (4-0) in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays rank fourth in the AL in hits at home with 9.3 per game.
On the other side, the Red Sox have a record of 4-5 when they are the underdog and are -629 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have a poor 0-1 record when they were an underdog to win. The Red Sox will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Boston's run production has dropped to 3.3 runs per game, compared to 5.4 for the duration of the season. Boston has an eye for the strike zone, averaging an AL-best 4.0 walks per game.
The Blue Jays are 3-2 against the Red Sox this season. The Blue Jays will take on a right-hander (Buchholz) in this game and have a 10-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Dickey will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 10-13 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 9-15, and the Blue Jays have a 13-11 record.
Boston has won 38% (5-8) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 70% (7-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Blue Jays have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Blue Jays have won their last three games while the Red Sox have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 14-1. The Red Sox have an 11-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 169 this season. Boston ranks 13th with 129 runs.
Ranking first in walks, Boston has earned 116 this season. Toronto ranks sixth with 103 walks.
The Blue Jays are 13-7 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 9-11 when they hit at least one homer.