Danny Salazar (3-1, 3.81 ERA) and Trevor May (2-2, 4.15 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (10-19) and the Minnesota Twins (18-13) at Progressive Field. The Twins won the last game 7-4 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and can be seen on FSN-N and STO.
Salazar is 2-1 with a 3.67 ERA in his appearances against the Twins, and goes up against a quality Minnesota offense which is batting .266 this season. Michael Brantley (.344, 14 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. When pitching against the Indians, May is 2-1 with a 5.74 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Torii Hunter (.295, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 19 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Cleveland is a -142 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Indians have recorded an overall money line of -1,168 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 6-11. Cleveland has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 3-10 and 6-15 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Indians have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.4 runs per game. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks at home, earning an average of 4.0 per game. Cleveland's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.7 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.1. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.3.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 13-11 record and an overall money line of +767. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.7 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the AL. The Twins are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the AL with 8.9 hits per game.
The Twins lead the season series, 4-1. The Indians have a 7-9 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when May takes the mound. Salazar (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have an 8-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
The Indians are struggling at 6-16 in their division, while the Twins are 13-11.
The Twins are 2-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Indians are 0-1 in such matchups.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Indians have a 3-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 2-15. The Twins have a 3-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 23 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 29.
Ranking eighth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.14 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.90.
Both Cleveland and Minnesota are tied at 16th for their on-base plus slugging percentage of .709.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 9-10. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have an 8-14 record.