Jordan Zimmermann (2-2, 4.15 ERA) and Alex Wood (1-2, 4.32 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (16-15) and the Atlanta Braves (14-16) at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 8-6 and Washington leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and can be seen on FSN-S and MASN2.
Zimmermann is 5-2 with a 3.03 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, but goes up against a good Atlanta offense which is batting .255 this season. Bryce Harper (.292, 25 Rs, 11 HRs, 27 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. When pitching against the Nationals, Wood is 3-2 with a 2.40 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 52 strikeouts. Freddie Freeman (.322, 21 Rs, 5 HRs, 18 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Washington is a -167 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Nationals have an overall money line of -417 and a record as the favorite of 12-11. Washington is an impressive 6-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Nationals have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.9 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. Washington is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 9-11 record and an overall money line of +64. They are 5-8 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 10-12 SU. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out with an NL-low 6.3 per game. The Braves allow 4.6 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.1 runs per game during that span.
The Nationals lead the season series, 4-1. The Nationals have a 5-2 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wood takes the mound. Zimmermann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 12-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
The Nationals hold a 14-11 record this season against teams in the NL East Division. The Braves' record in these matchups is 10-13.
When the Nationals play into extra innings, they have a 2-1 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are heading in with a 10-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 2-12. The Nationals have a 3-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 24 this season. Washington ranks eighth with 32 home runs.
Washington and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Washington sits at 10th with 8.17 hits per game and Atlanta ranks ninth with 8.31.
Washington and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Washington sits at 14th with an OPS of .714 and Atlanta ranks 13th with an OPS of .715.
The Braves are 4-11 when they allow at least one home run. The Nationals perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 4-6 record.