Matt Garza (2-4, 4.58 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (10-21) go up against Kyle Hendricks (0-1, 5.61 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (15-14) in the last of a three-game division series at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 12-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and will air on WGN and FSN-WI.
In his most recent outing, Garza pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking three in an 8-2 loss to the Dodgers. Ryan Braun (.248, 19 Rs, 6 HRs, 16 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with three runs. In his career against the Brewers, Hendricks is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA. He gets a struggling Milwaukee offense that's batting just .229. Anthony Rizzo (.327, 23 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Milwaukee is a -118 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Brewers perform poorly as a favorite with a 2-9 record and have an overall money line of -1,134. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-2. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Miller Park, averaging 8.7 strikeouts per home game.
On the other side, the Cubs have a record of 8-6 when they are the underdog and are +26 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 12-10 SU and 6-5 as the underdog. The Cubs are the top-ranked scoring offense in the NL when playing on the road, averaging five runs per game so far. One of the top road hitting teams in the NL are the Cubs, who average 9.4 hits in games away from home. The Cubs have racked up 29 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Chicago's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.4 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.3. They also allow just 2.3 walks per game, second-best in the NL. The Chicago pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers are 3-2 against the Cubs this season. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Hendricks) in this game. They have done very poorly against right-handed starting pitchers this season (8-17), especially at home where they have a 4-12 record. The right-handed Garza will take the mound against the Cubs, who have a 13-10 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 8-16 in their division, while the Cubs are 12-11.
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 5-7, while Milwaukee is 3-7.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Cubs have a 1-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 3-16. The Cubs have a 3-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Both Milwaukee and Chicago are tied at 15th in home runs, hitting 26 this season.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.43 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.68.
Ranking 25th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.655). Chicago ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .718.
The Cubs are 8-10 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Brewers are 7-17 when they allow at least one homer.