Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 6.84 ERA) and Mat Latos (1-3, 5.60 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the San Francisco Giants (15-16) and the Miami Marlins (15-16) at AT&T Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-2 and Miami leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and can be seen on FSN-FL and CSN-BAY.
Vogelsong is 3-3 with a 1.99 ERA in his appearances against the Marlins, but goes up against a good Miami offense which is batting .269 this season. Brandon Crawford (.255, 13 Rs, 5 HRs, 16 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Latos is 4-3 with a 2.19 ERA against the Giants in his career. He is up against a quality San Francisco offense that's batting .256. Dee Gordon (.437, 18 Rs, 12 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -129 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of -114 and a record as the favorite of 7-9. San Francisco is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. San Francisco's batters do not strike out very often, with only 6.8 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 6-8 record and an overall money line of -319.
The Marlins lead the season series, 2-1. The Giants have a 9-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Latos takes the mound. Vogelsong (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 10-15 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Francisco has won 29% (2-5) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Miami has won 40% (6-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Giants managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 2-8. The Giants have a 3-10 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. San Francisco sits at 26th with 20 home runs this season and Miami ranks 29th with 18.
Ranking sixth, San Francisco is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.73 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.13.
Ranking 21st, San Francisco is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.695). Miami ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .706.
The Marlins are 7-10 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Giants are 5-10 when they allow at least one homer.