Gerrit Cole (4-1, 2.27 ERA) starts for the Pittsburgh Pirates (15-16) as they square off against Jerome Williams (2-2, 5.18 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (11-21) in the first of a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and can be seen on ROOT-PIT and CSN-PHI.
Williams is 1-4 with a 4.37 ERA in his appearances against the Pirates, and goes up against a below-average Pittsburgh offense which is batting just .237 this season. Freddy Galvis (.340, 10 Rs, 1 HR, 8 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Cole is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA against the Phillies in his career. He takes on a below-average Philadelphia offense that's batting just .228. Starling Marte (.278, 16 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Pirates, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh takes on Philadelphia as a -159 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -635 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 10-18. Philadelphia has recorded a disappointing 3-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. Opposing offenses that come to Citizens Bank Park have been stifled by the Phillies, who have a team ERA of only 3.09 at home.
In games where it is the favorite, Pittsburgh has a 11-9 record and an overall money line of -437. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.16 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Pirates are fifth in the NL on the road with an average of 7.8 hits allowed per away game.
The Phillies have a bad 8-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cole takes the mound. Williams (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 14-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Pirates won by a margin of one run. The Phillies are 3-4 in one-run games. The Pirates have a 5-7 record in close games.
The Phillies are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 0-4 in such matchups.
The Pirates are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded three strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 3-0 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 3-18. The Pirates have a 3-11 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 17 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 24th with 23 home runs.
Philadelphia and Pittsburgh both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 15th with 7.48 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks 11th with 8.00.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.614). Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom at 28th with an OPS of .649.
The Pirates are 4-10 when they allow at least one home run. The Phillies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 5-14 record.