Ubaldo Jimenez (2-2, 2.36 ERA) and Marco Estrada (1-1, 2.93 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (13-16) and the Toronto Blue Jays (16-16) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and can be seen on RSN and MASN.
Jimenez is 4-4 with a 4.29 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a good Toronto offense which is batting .261 this season. Jimmy Paredes (.355, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Estrada is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA when pitching against the Orioles. He is up against a quality Baltimore offense which is hitting .269 this season. Russell Martin (.293, 22 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Baltimore is a -126 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. Though the Orioles have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-176), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 8-5. Baltimore is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.9 runs per game. The Orioles lead the AL in hits at home with an impressive 10.4 per game. Baltimore's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.2 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
Over in the other dugout, Toronto is coming in with an overall money line of -14 and a disappointing record of 6-10 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 109 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Orioles have an 11-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Estrada takes the mound. Jimenez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-14 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles hold a 12-14 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Blue Jays' record in these matchups is 13-12.
Neither the Orioles nor the Blue Jays have lost a game in extra innings, both going 1-0 in such matchups.
The Blue Jays managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are heading in with a 5-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 12-5. The Blue Jays have a 14-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto tops the league in runs with 172 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top half at 11th with 138.
Ranking 26th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 73 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 107.
The Orioles are 12-10 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 13-7 when they hit at least one homer.