Wily Peralta (1-4, 3.92 ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (2-2, 4.38 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (11-21) and the Chicago White Sox (12-16) at Miller Park. Action begins at 7:20 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and can be seen on WPWR and FSN-WI.
Peralta pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs (one unearned) and striking out six in a 6-3 win over the Dodgers. Ryan Braun (.255, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 16 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one stolen base. Samardzija is 2-6 with a 4.55 ERA when pitching against the Brewers. He is up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is hitting just .229 this season. Avisail Garcia (.327, 17 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the White Sox, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee is a slim -106 favorite at home against Chicago. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,034 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 3-9. In interleague play, they have had a discouraging season, earning 3-9 and 10-21 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.3 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game.
In the other locker room, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -607 and a disappointing record of 4-11 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-4 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the White Sox have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 6.0 in those contests. The White Sox allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.3 runs per game during that span.
The Brewers have a bad 4-12 record at home (8-17 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Samardzija takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 9-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the White Sox won by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 3-4 in one-run games. The White Sox have a 5-3 record in close games.
When the Brewers play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The White Sox are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The White Sox managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 3-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 7-2. The White Sox have a 9-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 119 runs this season and Chicago ranks 28th with 99.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 79 this season and Chicago ranks 28th with 71.
The Brewers are 10-7 when they hit at least one home run. The White Sox perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 7-5 record.