In the first of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (15-15) and the New York Mets (15-15) at Wrigley Field, Jon Lester (2-2, 4.04 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (3-3, 2.95 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and will air on SNY and CSN-CHI.
In his last start, Lester pitched 7.0 innings, giving up one, striking out six and walking two in a 6-5 victory over the Cardinals. Anthony Rizzo (.330, 23 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one RBI. Lucas Duda (.279, 16 Rs, 2 HRs, 12 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Chicago, a -134 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against New York. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is currently unavailable. The Cubs are 7-7 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -80. The Cubs are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 29 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Chicago's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.4 during that span, compared to its 4.6 season average. The Cubs don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Wrigley Field, ranking third in the NL with only 7.9 hits allowed per home game.
Across the field, the Mets have a subpar record of 5-8 when they are the underdog, but are +856 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-4 record when they were an underdog to win. The Mets will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, New York's run production has dropped to 2.4 runs per game, compared to 4.3 for the duration of the season. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.36 ERA on the road this season. They have a WHIP of 1.11 on the year, good for second in the league.
The Cubs will take on a right-hander (Colon) in this game and have a 13-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Lester will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 3-3 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
Chicago has won 38% (5-8) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 80% (12-3) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Cubs have a 1-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 3-12. The Mets have a 7-10 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 21 this season. Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 27.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.57 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.66.
Ranking 25th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.660). Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .710.
The Mets are 10-7 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 8-11 when they allow at least one homer.