Colby Lewis (2-2, 2.61 ERA) takes the mound for the Texas Rangers (13-18) as they go up against Danny Duffy (2-1, 4.55 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (20-11) in the first of a four-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and will air on FSN-KC and FSN-SW.
Lewis has a 6.35 ERA and a 1-4 record in his career against the Royals, and is up against a strong Kansas City offense that's hitting .290 on the year. Adrian Beltre (.236, 16 Rs, 3 HRs, 8 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. In his career against the Rangers, Duffy is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA. He gets a struggling Texas offense that's batting just .224. Eric Hosmer (.320, 19 Rs, 5 HRs, 25 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Texas is a +106 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the underdog, the Rangers have a 12-16 record and overall money line at -62.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Royals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .600 when playing as the favorite (9-6) and an overall money line of +824. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 5-5. They sport the second-ranked offense in the AL, averaging five runs per game. Kansas City is the top hitting team in the league, converting .290 of their at-bats for hits. The Royals average just 5.8 strikeouts per game, good for least in the AL. The Royals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.35 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.15 on the year, good for fifth in the league.
The Rangers will take on a left-hander (Duffy) in this game. They have done very poorly against left-handed starting pitchers this season (4-7), especially at home where they have a 1-4 record. Taking the hill against the Royals will be the right-hander Lewis. They sport an 11-7 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Royals won by a margin of one run. The Rangers are 5-3 in one-run games. The Royals have a 3-3 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, Kansas City is 8-3, while Texas is 5-11.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Royals have a 12-10 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 0-6. The Rangers have a 3-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 24 this season. Texas ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 25.
Kansas City tops the league in hits with 10.33 per game this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 14th with 7.60.
Ranking 26th, Texas is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.658). Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .778.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 11-6. When the Rangers allow one or more homers, they have a 6-14 record.