Carlos Carrasco (4-2, 4.71 ERA) and Lance Lynn (1-3, 3.82 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (11-19) and the St. Louis Cardinals (22-9) at Progressive Field. Action begins at 6:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and can be seen on FSN-MW and STO.
Carrasco pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 10-3 win over the Royals. Carlos Santana (.240, 21 Rs, 4 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 2 for 4 with one run and three RBIs. Lynn went 6.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out six and walking two in a 6-5 defeat to the Cubs in his last outing. Kolten Wong (.336, 17 Rs, 4 HRs, 17 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 Sunday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
The odds for Cleveland and St. Louis are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs. Against the NL, the Indians have an 11-19 record SU. The Indians have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game.
St. Louis is 22-9 SU against American League opponents. Offensively, they average 4.6 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. The Cardinals are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.4 hits per game. St. Louis is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. Moving on to St. Louis's pitching staff and defense, the The Cardinals allow just 3.1 runs per game, ranking them first in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Cardinals are the best in the NL on the road with an average of 7.4 hits allowed per away game.
The Indians have an 8-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lynn takes the mound. Carrasco (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a very good 18-5 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Cardinals lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Indians are 0-2. The Cardinals are 5-5 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 10-3, while Cleveland is 4-8.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 10-0 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 2-15. The Cardinals have a 5-3 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis ranks near the bottom of the league at 24th when it comes to home runs, hitting 23 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top half at 11th with 30.
Ranking first in hits, St. Louis has earned 9.45 per game this season. Cleveland ranks seventh with 8.47 hits.
Cleveland and St. Louis both rank in the top 10 of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Cleveland sits at 10th with an OPS of .719 and St. Louis ranks seventh with an OPS of .747.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 8-6. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have a 9-14 record.