In the first of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (19-13) and the Minnesota Twins (19-13) at Comerica Park, Alfredo Simon (4-1, 3.44 ERA) and Kyle Gibson (3-2, 2.97 ERA) take the mound. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-DET.
Simon has a 0.66 ERA and a 1-0 record in his career against the Twins, but is up against a solid Minnesota offense that's hitting .261 on the year. Anthony Gose (.325, 13 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run. In his career against the Tigers, Gibson is 2-4 with a 7.04 ERA. He meets a strong Detroit offense that's batting .272. Trevor Plouffe (.269, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run.
Detroit, a -150 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Tigers perform well as a favorite with a 13-8 record and have an overall money line of +428. They have performed well against their division to earn an SU record of 16-9 and a 12-5 record when they were the favorite. The Tigers will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Detroit has only averaged 3.1 runs per game compared to the 4.3 they've averaged on the season. The Tigers are a superb hitting team with 9.2 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. The Tigers are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 29 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Moving on to the away team, the Twins come into this game with a win percentage of .538 when playing as the underdog (14-12) and an overall money line of +785. Against divisional opponents, they are 13-12 SU and 11-10 as the underdog. Minnesota has been playing better lately, averaging 6.5 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.7.
The Tigers had the upper hand against the Twins in their previous six games this season, earning a 5-1 record. The Tigers will take on a right-hander (Gibson) in this game and have a 13-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the Twins, who have an 8-9 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers hold a 16-9 record in matchups against AL Central rivals, while the Twins currently sit at 13-12 in these games.
When the Twins play into extra innings, they have a 2-0 record. The Tigers are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Twins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Tigers who are heading in with a 9-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 16-2. The Twins have a 14-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th in runs, Detroit has earned 138 this season. Minnesota ranks sixth with 151 runs.
Ranking 20th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 85 this season. Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with 114.
The Tigers are 12-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Twins are 13-4 when they hit at least one homer.