In the first of a two-game series between the Houston Astros (20-12) and the San Francisco Giants (20-12) at Minute Maid Park, Collin McHugh (4-0, 3.23 ERA) and Chris Heston (2-3, 3.38 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and will air on CSN-BAY, ROOT-SW and MLB.
In his last start, McHugh pitched 7.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 3-2 loss to the Angels. The Giants were unsuccessful to the Padres 9-1 the last time Heston pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out four and walking three.
Houston is a -133 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Astros are 5-6 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +870. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Houston has averaged 10.0 runs per game during interleague play, higher than its season average of 4.4. The Astros are a power hitting team with 45 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 36 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Houston's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Astros have a team ERA of 3.45, one of the lowest in their league. The Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.09.
Moving on to the away team, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .571 when playing as the underdog (8-6) and an overall money line of -171. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win. San Francisco has stepped up their play against AL opponents averaging an impressive 4.3 runs per game compared to their 3.2 runs per game season average. San Francisco's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play competition from the AL. They've allowed an average of 2.0 runs per game against teams from the AL lower than their season average of 3.9.
The Astros will take on a right-hander (Heston) in this game and have an 11-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander McHugh. They sport a 10-14 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Giants won by a margin of one run. The Astros are 8-2 in one-run games. The Giants have a 9-3 record in close games.
The Astros are 3-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Giants are 3-1 in such matchups.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Astros have a 4-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 11-4. The Giants have a 12-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, San Francisco has earned 101 this season. Houston ranks 10th with 140 runs.
Ranking 15th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 98 this season. Houston ranks in the top five at fifth with 113.
The Astros are 15-7 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Giants are 9-7 when they hit at least one homer.