Chris Archer (3-4, 2.59 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (17-16) meet Nathan Eovaldi (3-0, 3.97 ERA) and the New York Yankees (21-12) in the second of a four-game division series at Tropicana Field. The Yankees won the last game 11-5 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and will air on YES and SunSports.
Archer is 5-0 with a 1.93 ERA, 25 strikeouts and five walks against the Yankees in his career. The Yankees were victorious the last time Eovaldi pitched. He went, going 5.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out three and walking three in a 4-3 victory over the Orioles. Brett Gardner (.308, 23 Rs, 3 HRs, 16 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Tampa Bay is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Rays are 7-7 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +181. They have a 13-12 record SU and are 5-5 as favorite within their division. Within their division, Tampa Bay's offense has been struggling. Tampa Bay has only averaged 3.3 runs per game compared to its 3.8 season average. The most recent 10 game stretch for Tampa Bay's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Tampa Bay's opponents are averaging 2.5 runs per game, below their season average of 3.5. The Rays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.14 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Yankees come into this game with a solid win percentage of .600 when playing as the underdog (9-6) and an overall money line of +798. Against divisional rivals, they are 15-10 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 6-5 record. The Yankees are known for their bats, hitting a league-leading 115 extra base hits. The Yankees are one of the top pitching staffs in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 3.7 runs allowed per game. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Yankees had the upper hand against the Rays in their previous seven games this season, earning a 6-1 record. This game will feature Eovaldi (RHP) on the mound against the Rays, who have a 13-10 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Archer. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 15-7 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees have a 16-10 record against teams in their division, while the Rays are even against their rivals at 13-13.
Tampa Bay has won 45% (5-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 53% (8-7) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 4-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Rays, as the Yankees have won their last two games while the Rays have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 14-2. The Yankees have a 13-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 126 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 160.
Ranking sixth, Tampa Bay is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 109 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 117.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 11-9. When the Yankees hit at least one homer, they have a 17-8 record.