Jake Arrieta (3-3, 3.41 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (0-0, 0.00 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (16-15) and the New York Mets (20-12) at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 4-3 and Chicago leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 12 and can be seen on SNY, CSN-CHI+ and MLB Net.
Arrieta is 0-1 with a 2.41 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .237 this season. Anthony Rizzo (.327, 24 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. This is the first time Arrieta will take the hill this season. Lucas Duda (.287, 17 Rs, 3 HRs, 13 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Chicago is a -135 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is unavailable as of now. The Cubs have an overall money line of -190 and a record as the favorite of 7-8. Chicago is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Chicago is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 30 bases. Chicago's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.9 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5. The Cubs are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.9 hits per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+956), New York has an unimpressive 5-8 record when playing as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Mets have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.8 during that stretch. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 2.86 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.13 for the season.
The Cubs have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Cubs have a 13-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Syndergaard takes the mound. Arrieta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 17-8 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
In their last game, the Mets lost by a margin of one run. The Cubs are 8-6 in one-run games. The Mets have a 7-5 record in close games.
The Cubs managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are coming in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 3-12. The Mets have a 7-10 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, New York has hit 23 this season. Chicago ranks 14th with 29 home runs.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.77 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.57.
Ranking 27th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.661). Chicago ranks in the top half at 13th with an OPS of .713.
The Mets are 10-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 9-11 when they allow at least one homer.