A full evening of baseball means a full night of betting trends from the diamond for bettors to take advantage of and get to the window. Two more NBA playoff games are on tap as the Cleveland Cavs host Game 5 against the Chicago Bulls and the Houston Rockets try to avoid elimination at home against the Los Angeles Clippers. One NHL playoff game is on tonight’s slate as the Tampa Bay Lightning take home ice as a big favorite against the Montreal Canadiens. It’s a good day of sports for a Tuesday night, so let’s look at how you can make it better by winning money.
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Here are the top sports betting trends for May 12:
MLB: Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics (10:05 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play over in Oakland home games. The over is 12-1 (+11.35 units) this season.
Another home game, another over for the A’s on Monday night in their loss to the Red Sox. Rick Porcello bested Scott Kazmir by a 5-4 score. The A’s have been an over machine no matter where they have played this season. Tuesday night’s game between Justin Masterson and Drew Pomeranz has a total of 8.
MLB: Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers (8:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Chicago using the money line in road games on Tuesday. The White Sox are 11-3 (+12.3 units) over the last two seasons.
This trend seems largely consequential, but the White Sox send ace Chris Sale to the mound on Tuesday. Against Mike Fiers, who has gotten shelled on a couple of occasions, the White Sox are only a favorite in the -120 to -125 range with Sale’s struggles this season as well. The White Sox have played well on Tuesdays, so maybe this will be what gets Sale and the team going.
MLB: Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Los Angeles in home games against right-handed starters. The Dodgers are 11-2 (+11.55 units) this season.
Los Angeles hit a walk-off winner last night to down the Marlins and they take on familiar foe Dan Haren on Tuesday night. Haren was traded from Los Angeles to Miami in the offseason. The Dodgers will send Mike Bolsinger to the mound and the betting market has come in on the Dodgers on the overnight line. The Dodgers are up to -140 after opening around -130.
Bonus Trend: Play over in Dodgers home games. The over is 59-33 (+26.1 units) over the last two seasons.
MLB: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (10:05 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against Colorado using the money line in road interleague games. The Rockies are 4-16 (-17.9 units) over the last three seasons.
The Rockies were just 21-60 on the road last season and will play their first road interleague series of the season in this brief two-game set. The Rockies are a big underdog against CJ Wilson on Tuesday night with Kyle Kendrick on the mound. The Angels are in the -175 to -190 range across the market, so shop around if you want to follow this trend.
Bonus Trend: Play against Colorado using the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175. The Rockies are 5-29 (-21.1 units) over the last three seasons.
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Cleveland Indians (6:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play over in Cleveland home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 9-0 (+9.05 units) this season.
The Indians pitching staff has fallen victim to the team’s bad defense on numerous occasions and good teams have taken advantage. The Royals and Tigers represent a big portion of this trend, but the three games over the weekend against the Twins all went over the total. The total between Lance Lynn and Carlos Carrasco is sitting at 8 for Thursday night.
Bonus Trend: Play against Cleveland using the money line after a win. The Indians are 1-9 (-10.25 units) this season.
NBA: Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets (9:30 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against Houston using the money line in home games against Pacific Division opponents. The Rockets are 8-10 (-20.85 units) over the last two seasons.
The Clippers can eliminate the Rockets if this trend holds up on Tuesday night. Houston is a three-point underdog in this game as money keeps pouring in on the road team. The Clippers dominated both games at the Staples Center and the Rockets don’t seem to have an answer for Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan, or even the Clippers bench.
Bonus Trend: Play under in Houston home games after three or more consecutive overs. The under is 59-26 (+30.4 units) since 1992.
NBA: Chicago Bulls at Cleveland Cavaliers (7:00 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Chicago in the first half of road games when revenging a loss versus an opponent. The Bulls are 16-4 (+11.6 units) in first halves this season.
The Bulls start fast against teams that they have recently lost to. They’ll need a fast start in Game 5 to erase the memory of LeBron James’s buzzer-beater game-winner in Game 4 on Sunday. The Bulls could be without Pau Gasol again in this game, so both teams will be going with small lineups and that could lead to a fast pace early on. Though that benefits the Cavs, the Bulls have enough shooters to win or cover the first half.
MLB: Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers (8:05 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play on Kansas City using the money line in road night games. The Royals are 45-24 (+24.35 units) over the last two seasons.
The Royals were in a tough spot on Monday night due to a late arrival into Texas after playing Sunday Night Baseball with a lengthy delay against the Tigers. With a day to get their bearings, the Royals send Edinson Volquez out against Nick Martinez. The Royals are a road favorite against Martinez, whose statistical profile suggests big regression is coming.
MLB: San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners (10:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against San Diego using the money line in road games against a team with a losing record. The Padres are 11-24 (-22.25 units) over the last two seasons.
The Padres head to Seattle for a brief two-game interleague set with the Mariners. The Padres and their right-handed heavy lineup get two left-handed starters in this season, which should benefit them, but the Padres have cost bettors over 22 units in road games against sub-.500 competition over the last two seasons.
MLB: San Francisco Giants at Houston Astros (8:10 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play against San Francisco using the money line in road games following a day off. The Giants are 7-17 (-19.65 units) over the last three seasons.
The Giants and Astros both had Monday off to prepare for this quick series in Houston. The Astros are sending ace Collin McHugh to the mound against Chris Heston. The Giants are an underdog and the line is growing. It has moved up about 10 cents across the market as bettors race to back the Astros, who are off to a great start this season.
NHL: Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning (7:00 p.m. ET)
Trend: Play over in Tampa Bay home games after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The over is 11-2 (+9.05 units) over the last two seasons.
Tampa Bay bounces back offensively more often than not and they will need to do that in order to eliminate the Canadiens in this series. Tampa Bay holds a 3-2 lead and had the best regular season home record in the NHL. If this game goes over the total, odds are that it will help the Lightning to play at that pace.
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