Miguel Gonzalez (3-2, 3.57 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (14-17) go up against Aaron Sanchez (3-2, 3.62 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (17-17) in the last of a three-game division series at Camden Yards. The Blue Jays won the last game 10-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and will air on RSN and MASN2.
Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA against the Blue Jays in his career, but faces a solid Toronto offense that's hitting .263 on the year. Jimmy Paredes (.357, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 17 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Orioles, Sanchez is 1-1 with a 4.72 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that's batting .265. Josh Donaldson (.319, 27 Rs, 8 HRs, 24 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Blue Jays, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
Baltimore, a -117 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Toronto. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is nine runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with a 9-5 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-176). They have a 13-14 record SU and are 8-5 as favorite within their division. The Orioles will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Baltimore has only averaged 3.1 runs per game compared to the 4.8 they've averaged on the season. The Orioles have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Orioles are a superb hitting team with an AL-best 10.2 hits per home game. The most recent 10 game stretch for Baltimore's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Baltimore's opponents are averaging 3.1 runs per game, below their season average of 4.5.
Across the field, the Blue Jays have a subpar record of 6-11 when they are the underdog and are -216 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. The Blue Jays are the number one overall scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game so far. The Blue Jays are known for their bats, hitting 116 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Orioles in head-to-head matchups this season, going 6-2. This game will feature Sanchez (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 12-14 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Gonzalez will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-16 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Orioles hold a 13-15 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Blue Jays' record in these matchups is 14-13.
Baltimore has won 45% (5-6) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 67% (8-4) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 5-7 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-9. The Blue Jays have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total home runs this season, Baltimore ranks fourth with 41 homers and Toronto is fifth with 40.
Ranking sixth, Toronto is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.70 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.03.
Baltimore and Toronto both rank in the top five of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Baltimore sits at fourth with an OPS of .763 and Toronto ranks third with an OPS of .770.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 9-13. When the Orioles allow one or more homers, they have a 7-12 record.