Kyle Lobstein (3-2, 3.00 ERA) and Ricky Nolasco (2-1, 9.00 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (20-13) and the Minnesota Twins (18-15) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 2-1 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-DET.
Lobstein is 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in his appearances against the Twins, and goes up against a quality Minnesota offense which is batting .259 this season. Anthony Gose (.333, 14 Rs, 1 HR, 7 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Nolasco is 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA against the Tigers in his career. He takes on a good Detroit offense that's batting .271.
Detroit is a -146 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Tigers have recorded an overall money line of +428 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 13-8. Detroit has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 12-5 and 16-9 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Tigers have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Tigers are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.2 per game. Detroit is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 29 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 14-12 record and an overall money line of +785. They are 11-10 as the underdog against AL Central opponents, and 13-12 SU. Offensively, the Twins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.7 runs per game by averaging 6.5 during that stretch.
The Tigers have controlled the season series, 6-1. The Tigers have a 13-10 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nolasco takes the mound. Lobstein (LHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a very good 10-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The Tigers sit at 17-9 against division rivals, while the Twins have an even 13-13 record against their foes.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 9-4, while Minnesota is 3-5.
The Tigers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Twins have a 3-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 1-9. The Twins have a 3-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Minnesota has hit 24 this season. Detroit ranks 20th with 26 home runs.
Detroit and Minnesota both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Detroit sits at second with 9.16 hits per game and Minnesota ranks fifth with 8.91.
Ranking 20th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Detroit ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .751.
The Twins are 9-12 when they allow at least one home run. The Tigers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 6-8 record.