In the third of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (17-15) and the New York Mets (17-15) at Wrigley Field, Jason Hammel (3-1, 3.52 ERA) and Matt Harvey (5-1, 2.72 ERA) get the start. The Cubs won the last game 6-1 and Chicago leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and will air on SNY, WGN and ESPN.
Hammel is 0-3 with a 6.33 ERA against the Mets in his career, but is up against a struggling New York offense that's hitting just .236 on the year. Kris Bryant (.276, 15 Rs, 3 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his career against the Cubs, Harvey is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Lucas Duda (.286, 18 Rs, 3 HRs, 13 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Chicago is a +107 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Cubs are 8-7 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -90. The Cubs are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 30 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Chicago pitchers. The Cubs have given up an average of 6.2 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.5 runs per game. The Cubs don't give up many hits at home to opposing batters at Wrigley Field, leading the NL with only 7.7 hits allowed per home game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .833 when playing as the favorite (15-3) and an overall money line of +856. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 5-2 record. The Mets will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, New York's run production has dropped to 2.8 runs per game, compared to 4.2 for the duration of the season. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 2.90 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.16 on the year, good for fourth in the league.
So far this season, the Cubs are 2-0 against the Mets. This game will feature Harvey (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have a 14-12 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Hammel will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 17-8 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 12-4, while Chicago is 6-8.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have a 5-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 3-13. The Mets have a 7-11 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 23 this season. Chicago ranks in the top half at 11th with 31.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.72 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.48.
Ranking 28th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.655). Chicago ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .722.
The Mets are 10-9 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Cubs are 9-11 when they allow at least one homer.