In the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (12-22) and the Chicago White Sox (12-22) at Miller Park, Jimmy Nelson (1-3, 4.00 ERA) and Jose Quintana (1-3, 5.03 ERA) take the mound. The White Sox won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 13 and will air on CSN-CHI and FSN-WI.
In his last start, Nelson pitched 7.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out 11 and walking one in a 7-6 loss to the Cubs. In his career against the Brewers, Quintana is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Avisail Garcia (.316, 17 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Milwaukee, a -116 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Chicago. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Brewers perform poorly as a favorite with a 4-9 record and have an overall money line of -834. They stand undefeated with a 1-0 record as the favorite and a 1-0 record SU against the American League. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Brewers has gone great. Over that span, Milwaukee is averaging 5.8 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.9. Milwaukee's pitchers struggle against teams that play in the American League. The Brewers have given up an average of 7.0 runs to opponents from the AL, well over their defense's season average of 5.2.
Across the field, the White Sox have a subpar record of 4-11 when they are the underdog and are -641 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. When it comes to scoring runs, the White Sox have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 3.7 season average. Playing competition from the NL really brings the worst out of the Chicago pitchers. They allow 6.2 runs per game against teams in the NL, which is higher than their season average of 5.0.
The Brewers will take on a left-hander (Quintana) in this game and have a 2-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the White Sox will be the right-hander Nelson. They sport a 10-13 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
For the ninth time this season, the Brewers registered at least two errors in a game.
The Brewers are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 0-1 in such matchups.
The White Sox are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Brewers have a 3-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 8-2. The White Sox have a 10-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 21st with 131 runs this season and Chicago ranks 28th with 110.
Milwaukee and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Milwaukee sits at 23rd with 82 this season and Chicago ranks 28th with 75.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 11-8, well-matched with the White Sox who are 7-6 when hitting one or more homers.