This game could be low scoring as Johnny Cueto (3-3, 2.98 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (17-17) meet Tim Lincecum (3-2, 2.00 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (17-17) in the first of a four-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and will air on CSN-BAY, FSN-OH and MLB Net.
Cueto has a 1.98 ERA and a 3-1 record in his career against the Giants, but faces a solid San Francisco offense that's hitting .260 on the year. Joey Votto (.306, 17 Rs, 7 HRs, 21 RBIs, 4 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Reds, Lincecum is 0-4 with a 9.79 ERA. He meets a struggling Cincinnati offense that's batting just .237. Buster Posey (.291, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 14 RBIs) has been doing well offensively for the Giants, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Cincinnati, a -168 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Francisco. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Reds have a winning record of 9-6 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +38. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 40 steals.
Moving on to the away team, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .562 when playing as the underdog (9-7) and an overall money line of -122. The Giants average 3.3 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel.
This game will feature Lincecum (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 13-12 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Cueto will take the mound against the Giants, who have an 11-14 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
San Francisco is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 6-7, while San Francisco is 2-5.
The Reds are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Giants have a record of 8-6 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 3-10. The Reds have a 5-12 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 21 this season. Cincinnati ranks fifth with 42 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.91 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.94.
Ranking 21st, San Francisco is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.700). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 15th with an OPS of .705.
The Giants are 6-11 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 10-14 when they allow at least one homer.