In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Jeremy Guthrie (2-2, 5.70 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (21-13) are in Texas to square off against Ross Detwiler (0-4, 7.22 ERA) and the Rangers (15-19). This is the last of a four-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 5-2 and Texas leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 2:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, May. 14 and can be seen on FSN-KC and FSN-SW.
Detwiler pitched 4.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out two and walking three in a 7-2 defeat to the Rays. Prince Fielder (.346, 13 Rs, 4 HRs, 19 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Guthrie is 5-4 with a 3.40 ERA when pitching against the Rangers. He takes on a below-average Texas offense which is hitting just .233 this season. Eric Hosmer (.323, 21 Rs, 6 HRs, 27 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Kansas City takes on Texas as a -116 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Rangers have an overall money line of +81 and a record as the underdog of 14-17. Texas has gone 7-3 in its last 10 as underdog. Texas is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.7 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Kansas City has a 10-8 record and an overall money line of +761. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is third in the AL. The Royals capitalize on their at-bats at a high percentage, leading the league with a .285 team batting average. Kansas City is excellent at not striking out with an AL-low 5.7 per game. Kansas City's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL, with a 3.52 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Royals are third in the AL with an average of 7.7 hits allowed per game.
The Rangers lead the season series, 2-1. The Rangers have a 10-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Guthrie takes the mound. Detwiler (LHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a very good 8-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games when playing Texas.
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas.
Kansas City is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Texas.
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City.
Texas has won 39% (7-11) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 62% (8-5) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Royals have a 3-8 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 1-8. The Rangers have a 3-14 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 19th in home runs, Kansas City has hit 27 this season. Texas ranks 13th with 31 home runs.
Kansas City tops the league in hits with 9.94 per game this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 11th with 7.94.
Ranking 23rd, Texas is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .771.
The Royals are 12-8 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rangers are 6-15 when they allow at least one homer.